Geneva Talks: U.S.–Iran Enter Third Round

Tomorrow, February 26, U.S. and Iranian envoys meet in Geneva for the third round of negotiations, following earlier sessions in Muscat and Geneva that ended without agreement. The talks unfold under heavy pressure: Washington has deployed the nuclear-powered USS Gerald R. Ford to the eastern Mediterranean, while Tehran signals it will not yield to military intimidation and is exploring advanced defense cooperation with China.

Strategic Context:

This confrontation is rooted in decades of nuclear disputes, dating back to the 1970s when the U.S. itself supplied Iran’s first research reactor. Today, Washington leverages military escalation as bargaining leverage, while Iran positions itself within an emerging multipolar axis—China, Russia, and regional allies—to resist unilateral dictates.

Position:

Evidence shows that military coercion has historically failed to break Iran’s resolve. The U.S. seeks a deal on its own terms, but Iran insists on sovereign rights to peaceful nuclear technology and defense autonomy. The balance of power favors resilience over capitulation.

Outlook:

A comprehensive breakthrough is unlikely in Geneva. Partial understandings—particularly on oil sanctions—remain possible. Yet failure could accelerate militarization in the Mediterranean and Gulf, while Iran deepens its eastern defense partnerships.

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