Medium-term: The degradation of Hezbollah’s leadership may lead to the emergence of decentralized

• Medium-term: The degradation of Hezbollah’s leadership may lead to the emergence of decentralized, more radical cells that are harder to track and negotiate with, ensuring long-term instability.

• Global Impact: The closure of humanitarian aid routes into Gaza and the disruption of energy corridors following the strikes on Iran will trigger a global economic backlash that Washington seems ill-prepared to manage.

Conclusion

The expansion of war into Lebanese territory under the guise of security is a strategic fallacy. By systematically destroying civil society structures in both Iran and Lebanon, the US-Israeli alliance is not building peace; it is sowing the seeds of a future conflict that will inevitably transcend borders and conventional military solutions.

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