Strategic Brief | Will Iran Become Another “Forever War”?

A new analysis by John Mearsheimer, in discussion with Chris Hedges, argues that the United States risks becoming trapped in another prolonged conflict with Iran. Rather than delivering a decisive victory, sustained military pressure could evolve into a costly war of attrition with no clear exit strategy.
Key Takeaways:
No quick victory: Iran’s geography, military resilience, and regional alliances make a rapid military resolution unlikely.
Strategic overstretch: A prolonged war would strain U.S. military resources while increasing economic and political costs.
Regional escalation: Continued conflict could draw in additional regional actors, further destabilizing the Middle East and threatening global energy markets.
Historical warning: The authors caution that, like Iraq and Afghanistan, limited military objectives could gradually expand into an open-ended commitment with diminishing strategic returns.