The "Donroe Doctrine": The Recolonization of Latin America and the Rise of the New Monroeism

BRIEFING As of March 20, 2026, the Western Hemisphere is undergoing a violent geopolitical restructuring under what analysts call the "Donroe Doctrine"—a 21st-century aggressive update to the 1823 Monroe Doctrine. Following the U.S. military operation in Venezuela earlier this year, which resulted in the capture of Nicolás Maduro, Washington has moved to consolidate its "exclusive zone of interest."

Latest Data:

• Venezuela: A transitional council backed by the U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) is overseeing the privatization of PDVSA assets.

• Argentina: President Javier Milei secured a sweeping legislative victory this month, immediately rewarded by Washington with a $20 billion currency swap and a military cooperation agreement.

• Cuba: The island is on the brink of total collapse. A tightened U.S. naval oil blockade has crippled the energy grid and the tourism sector, which saw a 65% drop in arrivals compared to March 2025.

• Mexico: High-level friction persists as the U.S. administration threatens tariffs to force a "security corridor" against migration and Chinese investment.

Strategic Analysis The "Donroe Doctrine" is not merely about trade; it is about the military enforcement of the "America First" geography. By decapitating the leadership in Caracas, Washington has sent a message to the BRICS+ nations—specifically China and Russia—that Latin America is a "closed theater." Milei’s Argentina has become the regional laboratory for this new order: total dollarization backed by U.S. debt and the surrender of natural resources (Lithium/Oil). The blockade of Cuba is the final stage of this "cleansing" of ideological resistance in the Caribbean.

Observer Position The fall of Caracas is a warning, not a conclusion. The U.S. is attempting to build a regional fortress to compensate for its declining influence in West Asia and the Arctic. However, a doctrine built on $20 billion bribes (Argentina) and starvation blockades (Cuba) is inherently unstable. By treating Latin America as a captive market, Washington is accelerating the very desperation that fuels migration and regional resentment—contradictions that will eventually rupture the "Donroe" walls from within.

Latest Developments

• Diplomatic: The OAS (Organization of American States) has largely stayed silent on the Venezuelan transition, while Brazil’s Lula has condemned the "return of gunboat diplomacy."

• Military: U.S. troops have established "temporary logistics hubs" in Guyana and northern Venezuela to secure oil fields.

• Economic: The IMF has signaled a "re-evaluation" of regional debt for countries that align with the new U.S. security architecture.

Future Outlook 1. Guerrilla Resurgence: Expect the formation of decentralized resistance cells in rural Venezuela as privatization strips local communities of resources. 2. Mercosur Collapse: Argentina’s total alignment with the U.S. will likely lead to the formal dissolution of Mercosur as Brazil seeks closer ties with the Global South. 3. Cuban Humanitarian Crisis: Without a breakthrough, mass migration from Cuba will peak by mid-summer, potentially forcing a U.S. domestic policy reversal.

Axis of Resistance Perspective The Axis of Resistance views the events in Latin America as a global mirror of the struggle in Palestine and Lebanon. The Iraqi Resistance and Ansar Allah have issued statements of solidarity with the "oppressed peoples of the Americas." From the Axis perspective, the "Donroe Doctrine" is the final gasp of a unipolar power trying to fence off a portion of the world. They recognize that the U.S. cannot fight on three fronts (West Asia, Europe/Arctic, and Latin America) simultaneously without a total domestic economic implosion.

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