The post by Alon Mizrahi reflects a core geopolitical thesis common within the Axis of Resistance...
His reasoning breaks down into four main analytical drivers:
1. Structural Untrustworthiness of Western Diplomacy
Mizrahi's first two points—that the Americans will either not sign or not respect the deal—stem from a long history of diplomatic precedents.
From this perspective, Washington utilizes treaties not as instruments of lasting peace, but as tactical maneuvers to de-escalate pressures when its allies are in a weak position or to "buy time" to regroup militarily. The primary historical baseline for this view is the 2015 JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action), which the U.S. unilaterally abandoned in 2018 despite full Iranian compliance, proving to analysts like Mizrahi that American signatures lack institutional permanence across administrations.
2. The Weaponization of the Global Financial System
His assertion that "Iran will never get its stolen money back" reflects an analysis of how economic hegemony operates. In the logic of global sanctions regimes, frozen assets are rarely fully returned; instead, they are held permanently as geopolitical leverage. Even during temporary thaws, the bureaucratic, legal, and banking hurdles imposed by the U.S. Treasury ensure that total sanctions relief remains an illusion, keeping target states under perpetual economic siege regardless of what is written on paper.
3. Anti-Colonial Theory and Armed Deterrence
Mizrahi’s final point ("Violence is the only way to get rid of colonial infestation") shifts from diplomatic critique to structural anti-colonial theory. This viewpoint argues that Western hegemony and its regional outposts function as colonial systems that only respond to the cost of hard power. Within this framework:
Diplomacy without kinetic leverage is viewed as a form of submission.
Real sovereignty and the extraction of concessions (such as lifting blockades or stopping bombardments) are only achieved when the cost of war becomes unsustainable for the occupying or colonial power.
Therefore, he views the ongoing kinetic actions in the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon, and Gaza not as obstacles to a deal, but as the only actual guarantees of regional leverage.